Disentangling drivers of air pollutant and health risk changes during the COVID-19 lockdown in China.

The COVID-19 restrictions in 2020 have led to distinct variations in NO2 and O3 concentrations in China. Here, the different drivers of anthropogenic emission changes, including the effects of the Chinese New Year (CNY), China's 2018-2020 Clean Air Plan (CAP), and the COVID-19 lockdown and their impact on NO2 and O3 are isolated by using a combined model-measurement approach. In addition, the contribution of prevailing meteorological conditions to the concentration changes was evaluated by applying a machine-learning method. The resulting impact on the multi-pollutant Health-based Air Quality Index (HAQI) is quantified. The results show that the CNY reduces NO2 concentrations on average by 26.7% each year, while the COVID-lockdown measures have led to an additional 11.6% reduction in 2020, and the CAP over 2018-2020 to a reduction in NO2 by 15.7%. On the other hand, meteorological conditions from 23 January to March 7, 2020 led to increase in NO2 of 7.8%. Neglecting the CAP and meteorological drivers thus leads to an overestimate and underestimate of the effect of the COVID-lockdown on NO2 reductions, respectively. For O3 the opposite behavior is found, with changes of +23.3%, +21.0%, +4.9%, and -0.9% for CNY, COVID-lockdown, CAP, and meteorology effects, respectively. The total effects of these drivers show a drastic reduction in multi-air pollutant-related health risk across China, with meteorology affecting particularly the Northeast of China adversely. Importantly, the CAP's contribution highlights the effectiveness of the Chinese government's air-quality regulations on NO2 reduction.

Comparison of air pollutants and their health effects in two developed regions in China during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Air pollution attributed to substantial anthropogenic emissions and significant secondary formation processes have been reported frequently in China, especially in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) and Yangtze River Delta (YRD). In order to investigate the aerosol evolution processes before, in, and after the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) lockdown period of 2020, ambient monitoring data of six air pollutants were analyzed from Jan 1 to Apr 11 in both 2020 and 2019. Our results showed that the six ambient pollutants concentrations were much lower during the COVID-19 lockdown due to a great reduction of anthropogenic emissions. BTH suffered from air pollution more seriously in comparison of YRD, suggesting the differences in the industrial structures of these two regions. The significant difference between the normalized ratios of CO and NO2 during COVID-19 lockdown, along with the increasing PM2.5, indicated the oxidation of NO2 to form nitrate and the dominant contribution of secondary processes on PM2.5. In addition, the most health risk factor was PM2.5 and health-risked based air quality index (HAQI) values during the COVID-19 pandemic in YRD in 2020 were all lower than those in 2019. Our findings suggest that the reduction of anthropogenic emissions is essential to mitigate PM2.5 pollution, while O3 control may be more complicated.

Changes of air quality and its associated health and economic burden in 31 provincial capital cities in China during COVID-19 pandemic.

With outbreak of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19), immediate prevention and control actions were imposed in China. Here, we conducted a timely investigation on the changes of air quality, associated health burden and economic loss during the COVID-19 pandemic (January 1 to May 2, 2020). We found an overall improvement of air quality by analyzing data from 31 provincial cities, due to varying degrees of NO2, PM2.5, PM10 and CO reductions outweighing the significant O3 increase. Such improvement corresponds to a total avoided premature mortality of 9410 (7273-11,144) in the 31 cities by comparing the health burdens between 2019 and 2020. NO2 reduction was the largest contributor (55%) to this health benefit, far exceeding PM2.5 (10.9%) and PM10 (23.9%). O3 instead was the only negative factor among six pollutants. The period with the largest daily avoided deaths was rather not the period with strict lockdown but that during February 25 to March 31, due to largest reduction of NO2 and smallest increase of O3. Southwest, Central and East China were regions with relatively high daily avoided deaths, while for some cities in Northeast China, the air pollution was even worse, therefore could cause more deaths than 2019. Correspondingly, the avoided health economic loss attributable to air quality improvement was 19.4 (15.0-23.0) billion. Its distribution was generally similar to results of health burden, except that due to regional differences in willingness to pay to reduce risks of premature deaths, East China became the region with largest daily avoided economic loss. Our results here quantitatively assess the effects of short-term control measures on changes of air quality as well as its associated health and economic burden, and such information is beneficial to future air pollution control.